Continued destocking of aluminum ingot inventory underpins, China's weak demand suppresses the rise of aluminum prices [ SMM Aluminum Morning Meeting Minutes]
[Aluminum ingot inventory continues to destock underpinning prices, while domestic demand weakness curbs aluminum price rise] Comprehensive judgment: macro sentiment fluctuates, the Middle East situation enters a "neither war nor peace" state, frequently disturbing aluminum prices in China and overseas; on the fundamentals side, the destocking trend of domestic aluminum ingot inventory continues, providing bottom support for aluminum prices; but overseas, driven by new investment and resumed production capacity, the daily average aluminum output is expected to continue to rebound; the SHFE/LME price ratio is repairing, and as orders on hand are digested, export demand is expected to gradually weaken; in addition, domestic terminal end-user demand is generally mediocre, the switching period between low and peak seasons is not yet clear, and the market has certain concerns about demand in the peak season; in the short term, aluminum prices are expected to continue to consolidate on a subdued note.