[SMM Cobalt & Lithium Morning Meeting Minutes] Lithium Chemicals Remained Relatively Strong as Industry Chain Divergence Intensified; Peak-Season Demand Support Gradually Strengthened
This week, operations across the industry chain continued to diverge. The lithium segment remained relatively strong: an upward shift in the price center of lithium carbonate drove ore prices and lithium hydroxide higher, but salt plants became less willing to accept high-priced ore, and further gains were still constrained by margins. Lithium carbonate futures retreated from highs, while spot inquiries and transactions improved somewhat; downstream demand was still dominated by just-in-time procurement. Some metal salts and intermediate product markets remained weak, with more low-priced supply and muted actual transactions; nickel sulphate held steady, but spot orders were under pressure. Ternary cathode precursor prices were weak due to softer raw materials, while ternary cathode material continued to rebound, supported by a rebound in lithium chemicals and stockpiling ahead of the peak season. LFP supply and demand remained in a tight balance; tight raw materials, declining inventory, and rising processing fees strengthened cathode enterprises’ bargaining power. The anode, separator, and electrolyte segments were broadly stable, while supply bottlenecks persisted in parts of the sodium-ion battery chain. On the recycling side, demand for LFP electrode was active, while transactions in high-metal-content black mass were cautious; going forward, focus will be on whether peak-season demand materializes and how raw material price pass-through evolves.