According to SMM, the operating rate of copper cathode rod enterprises in July was 67.01%, down 1.7 percentage points MoM, up 0.84 percentage points from expectations, and up 0.5 percentage points YoY. Among them, the operating rate of large enterprises was 78.83%, that of medium-sized enterprises was 48.73%, and that of small enterprises was 58.05%.
In July, the operating rate of copper cathode rod enterprises was 67.01%, down 1.7 percentage points MoM and up 0.5 percentage points YoY (66.51% in July last year).
Overall, copper prices continued to rise in July, coupled with the long-term high premium pattern of spot copper cathode earlier. The market entered the traditional consumption off-season, and downstream end-user orders were already weak; high copper prices further suppressed purchase willingness, leading to a continued weakening of new orders for copper cathode rod enterprises. Against this backdrop, many copper cathode rod plants proactively arranged maintenance and production cuts, the industry's overall operating level pulled back, and copper cathode rod output declined. By downstream sector, the two main consumption sectors, wire and cable and enamelled wire, also bore the impact of high copper prices. Enterprises became more cautious in stockpiling, actively controlled raw material inventories, and industry orders contracted simultaneously, with overall demand showing a clear seasonal pullback.
In July, the days of raw material inventories for copper cathode rod enterprises were 2.04 days, and days of finished product inventories were 3.66 days.
With copper prices rising continuously this month, enterprises were generally cautious in raw material procurement, mostly adopting a strategy of purchasing as needed and rigid restocking, with days of raw material inventories increasing by 0.1 days MoM. Meanwhile, demand from downstream wire and cable and enamelled wire was sluggish, production enthusiasm was insufficient, and finished product destocking was hindered, driving days of finished product inventories up by 0.22 days MoM.
The operating rate of copper cathode rod enterprises in August is expected to be 64.75%.
Looking ahead to August, the operating rate of copper cathode rod is expected to fall by 2.26 percentage points MoM to 64.75%, and decline by 3.62 percentage points YoY. Copper prices stayed high, downstream fear of high prices continued to ferment, market wait-and-see sentiment was strong, and new orders were unlikely to recover significantly. The industry's operating rate in August may continue the weak pattern. On the foreign trade front, imported copper premiums pulled back. Affected by July orders falling short of expectations, some copper cathode rod enterprises lowered their quotes and accelerated the delivery pace of long-term contracts. Exports in August are expected to rebound MoM, but the growth in new overseas orders is limited, making it difficult to reverse weak domestic demand.
