SHFE/LME price ratio weakens, backwardation structure widens, spot premium pulls back slightly [SMM Yangshan spot copper]

Published: Jul 28, 2026 11:58

On July 28, the average warrant price fell $1/mt from the previous trading day to $112/mt (price range: $108-$116/mt); the average B/L price also fell $1/mt to $107/mt (price range: $104-$110/mt); the average price for EQ copper (CIF B/L) fell $1/mt to $75/mt (price range: $70-$80/mt), with quotations referencing August-arrival cargoes.

Today, the SHFE/LME price ratio continued to weaken, and coupled with the widening prompt-month backwardation structure, suppliers' sentiment to sell increased. Offers for EQ copper grew in the morning session, and quotations pulled back somewhat.

It was heard today that registered B/L for early August arrival was quoted at $110/mt, EQ copper for early August arrival traded at $80/mt, and mainstream quotations were in the range of $75-85/mt.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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SHFE/LME price ratio weakens, backwardation structure widens, spot premium pulls back slightly [SMM Yangshan spot copper] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)