[SMM Steel] Holidays Dull Demand While High Costs Restrict Downside; Turkish Rebar Losses Capped

Published: Jul 15, 2026 14:59
[Turkey] The Turkish domestic rebar market remained deeply subdued this week. The mid-week holiday further paralyzed already anemic downstream demand, with most market participants opting to extend their absence through the weekend, bringing merchant trading to a virtual standstill. Consequently, Turkish domestic rebar prices ticked down to 560–565 USD/tonne EXW (excluding VAT). Crucially, scorching summer weather over the last month has significantly driven up industrial energy costs across Turkey. Compounded by stubbornly low capacity utilization rates and high financing costs, operations have become unprofitable for most local EAF mills. As a result, the room for further price cuts by mills remains limited in the short term, bolstering their stance to support prices. On the export front, Turkish rebar export prices held steady at 565 USD/tonne FOB. As Turkey's country-specific quota has been exhausted, exporters are actively tapping into the remaining global safeguard allocation in Europe. In summary, caught between halted holiday trading and rigid production costs, Turkish long steel prices are expected to remain range-bound with a weak bias, though the downside remains structurally limited in the near term.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM Analysis] The supply-demand imbalance of construction steel improved marginally this period
37 mins ago
[SMM Analysis] The supply-demand imbalance of construction steel improved marginally this period
Read More
[SMM Analysis] The supply-demand imbalance of construction steel improved marginally this period
[SMM Analysis] The supply-demand imbalance of construction steel improved marginally this period
According to SMM statistics, total construction steel inventory this period was 8.3259 million mt, down 217,100 mt MoM (-2.54% MoM), shifting from increase to decline. Both mill inventory and social inventory destocked to varying degrees. Social inventory destocking accelerated notably as arrivals dropped. With the dock closure now lifted, subsequent concentrated arrivals of construction steel may lead to social inventory accumulation.
37 mins ago
[ Ferriera Valsider Declares Force Majeure Following Unexpected Production Halt ]
44 mins ago
[ Ferriera Valsider Declares Force Majeure Following Unexpected Production Halt ]
Read More
[ Ferriera Valsider Declares Force Majeure Following Unexpected Production Halt ]
[ Ferriera Valsider Declares Force Majeure Following Unexpected Production Halt ]
Metinvest's Italian subsidiary, Ferriera Valsider, officially declared force majeure in mid-August 2026 after an unforeseeable breakdown forced the complete shutdown of its hot-rolled coil and heavy plate production lines. The company suspended all contractual performance terms, citing an inability to immediately determine the duration of the significant disruption. Technical teams are currently assessing the damaged equipment to establish a reliable repair timeline and restore normal operations.
44 mins ago
[SMM Analysis] Twin Barriers Force a Trade Reset: A Full Anatomy of the Scramble for the EU's 18.35 Mt Steel Quota
54 mins ago
[SMM Analysis] Twin Barriers Force a Trade Reset: A Full Anatomy of the Scramble for the EU's 18.35 Mt Steel Quota
Read More
[SMM Analysis] Twin Barriers Force a Trade Reset: A Full Anatomy of the Scramble for the EU's 18.35 Mt Steel Quota
[SMM Analysis] Twin Barriers Force a Trade Reset: A Full Anatomy of the Scramble for the EU's 18.35 Mt Steel Quota
The EU's temporary steel safeguard expired at end-June 2026 and a permanent TRQ took its place — duty-free volume nearly halved to about 18.35 Mt, the out-of-quota duty doubled to 50%, and a first-ever "melt and pour" origin rule. Using the official allocations, this piece breaks the quota down category by category and country by country: HRC alone claims about 5.2 million tonnes, Türkiye takes the largest share, Taiwan, China is squeezed hardest — and CBAM stacks a second barrier on top.
54 mins ago