[NPI Daily Review] Increased Downstream Transactions Drove Prices Up, Bullish Sentiment Intensified

Published: Apr 29, 2026 15:13
[SMM Daily Comment: Downstream Transaction Volume Increase Drove Prices Up, Bullish Sentiment Strengthened] April 29 — The SMM high-grade NPI upstream sentiment factor was 3.54, up 0.24 MoM, and the high-grade NPI downstream sentiment factor was 2.6, up 0.71 MoM.

SMM April 29,

   April 29, the SMM high-grade NPI market sentiment factor was 3.07, up 0.48 MoM; the upstream sentiment factor was 3.54, up 0.24 MoM; the downstream sentiment factor was 2.6, up 0.71 MoM. NPI market transactions strengthened notably today. Supply side, upstream producers held strong hold-prices-firm and hold-back-from-selling sentiment, with mainstream quotations concentrated at 1120-1150 yuan/nickel unit. Bullish expectations for the market strengthened, and post-holiday quotations are expected to continue rising. Meanwhile, Indonesian nickel ore raw material costs continued to rise, further supporting upstream willingness to hold prices firm. Demand side, affected by the deepening of invoicing controls, market expectations were that medium and long-term steel scrap procurement would remain restricted, and downstream steel mill demand for NPI climbed again, coupled with strong restocking willingness from steel mills under cost support. Steel mill procurement sentiment shifted from cautious to active overall, downstream restocking drove transaction volumes higher, and bullish sentiment was strong in the market.

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
【SMM Analysis】Weekly Review of Indonesian Nickel Market - Apr 30
16 hours ago
【SMM Analysis】Weekly Review of Indonesian Nickel Market - Apr 30
Read More
【SMM Analysis】Weekly Review of Indonesian Nickel Market - Apr 30
【SMM Analysis】Weekly Review of Indonesian Nickel Market - Apr 30
16 hours ago
[SMM Nickel Market Flash] World Bank Says Indonesia’s New Nickel Capacity May Be Curbed by Tight Ore Supply
18 hours ago
[SMM Nickel Market Flash] World Bank Says Indonesia’s New Nickel Capacity May Be Curbed by Tight Ore Supply
Read More
[SMM Nickel Market Flash] World Bank Says Indonesia’s New Nickel Capacity May Be Curbed by Tight Ore Supply
[SMM Nickel Market Flash] World Bank Says Indonesia’s New Nickel Capacity May Be Curbed by Tight Ore Supply
According to the World Bank’s April 2026 Commodity Markets Outlook, global refined nickel production is expected to increase modestly in 2026 and 2027 as new processing capacity comes online in Indonesia. However, the report warned that tighter upstream ore availability is likely to constrain capacity utilization. This suggests future growth in Indonesia’s nickel supply may depend increasingly on ore availability rather than nominal processing capacity alone.
18 hours ago
[SMM Nickel Market Flash] World Bank Sees Nickel Prices Rising 12% in 2026 on Tight Supply
18 hours ago
[SMM Nickel Market Flash] World Bank Sees Nickel Prices Rising 12% in 2026 on Tight Supply
Read More
[SMM Nickel Market Flash] World Bank Sees Nickel Prices Rising 12% in 2026 on Tight Supply
[SMM Nickel Market Flash] World Bank Sees Nickel Prices Rising 12% in 2026 on Tight Supply
According to the World Bank’s April 2026 Commodity Markets Outlook, nickel prices are projected to rise 12% year on year in 2026 and a further 3% in 2027, as global consumption growth is expected to outpace supply expansion. The report said that although new nickel processing capacity will continue to come online in Indonesia, tighter upstream ore availability is likely to constrain utilization rates and keep the market tight. It also noted that further disruptions to sulfur exports from Middle East producers could become an additional upside risk for nickel prices.
18 hours ago
Register to Continue Reading
Gain access to the latest insights in metals and new energy
Already have an account?sign in here