NBS: National Real Estate Development Investment Fell 11.1% YoY in January-February, with the Decline Narrower Than for the Whole of Last Year

Published: Mar 16, 2026 10:31
Source: CLS Fintech

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed that in January-February, China’s real estate development investment totaled 961.2 billion yuan, down 11.1% YoY, with the decline narrowing by 6.1 percentage points from the full-year level of the previous year; of which, residential investment was 728.2 billion yuan, down 10.7%, with the decline narrowing by 5.6 percentage points. In January-February, the floor space of buildings under construction by real estate development enterprises nationwide was 5.3537 billion m², down 11.7% YoY. Of this total, residential floor space under construction was 3.7135 billion m², down 11.9%. The floor space of buildings newly started was 50.84 million m², down 23.1%. Of this total, residential floor space newly started was 36.95 million m², down 23.3%. The floor space of buildings completed was 63.2 million m², down 27.9%. Of this total, residential floor space completed was 46.25 million m², down 26.9%.

I. Completion of Real Estate Development Investment

In January-February, China’s real estate development investment totaled 961.2 billion yuan, down 11.1% YoY (calculated on a comparable basis; see Note 5 for details), with the decline narrowing by 6.1 percentage points from the full-year level of the previous year; of which, residential investment was 728.2 billion yuan, down 10.7%, with the decline narrowing by 5.6 percentage points.

image

In January-February, the floor space of buildings under construction by real estate development enterprises was 5.3537 billion m², down 11.7% YoY. Of this total, residential floor space under construction was 3.7135 billion m², down 11.9%. The floor space of buildings newly started was 50.84 million m², down 23.1%. Of this total, residential floor space newly started was 36.95 million m², down 23.3%. The floor space of buildings completed was 63.2 million m², down 27.9%. Of this total, residential floor space completed was 46.25 million m², down 26.9%.

II. Sales of Newly Built Commercial Buildings and Pending Sale Status

In January-February, the floor space of newly built commercial buildings sold was 92.93 million m², down 13.5% YoY, with the decline widening by 4.8 percentage points from the full-year level of the previous year; of which, residential sales floor space fell 15.9%. Sales of newly built commercial buildings amounted to 818.6 billion yuan, down 20.2%, with the decline widening by 7.6 percentage points; of which, residential sales value fell 21.8%.

image

At month-end February, the floor space of commercial buildings pending sale was 799.98 million m², up 0.1% YoY, with the growth rate pulling back by 1.5 percentage points from year-end 2025. Of this total, the floor space pending sale for less than three years was 606.16 million m², down 1.6%.

III. Funding Sources of Real Estate Development Enterprises

In January-February, funds in place for real estate development enterprises totaled 1,304.7 billion yuan, down 16.5% YoY. Of this total, China domestic loans stood at 257 billion yuan, down 13.9%; self-raised funds were 493.9 billion yuan, down 5.9%; deposits and advance receipts were 358.9 billion yuan, down 21.5%; and individual mortgage loans were 112.8 billion yuan, down 41.9%.

image

image

image

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Declining Aluminum Prices Boost Market Procurement Sentiment, Premiums Stabilize [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Commentary]
57 mins ago
Declining Aluminum Prices Boost Market Procurement Sentiment, Premiums Stabilize [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Commentary]
Read More
Declining Aluminum Prices Boost Market Procurement Sentiment, Premiums Stabilize [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Commentary]
Declining Aluminum Prices Boost Market Procurement Sentiment, Premiums Stabilize [SMM Spot Aluminum Midday Commentary]
57 mins ago
Import Window Opened Intraday, Active Morning Inquiries Pushed Up Offers [SMM Yangshan Spot Copper]
1 hour ago
Import Window Opened Intraday, Active Morning Inquiries Pushed Up Offers [SMM Yangshan Spot Copper]
Read More
Import Window Opened Intraday, Active Morning Inquiries Pushed Up Offers [SMM Yangshan Spot Copper]
Import Window Opened Intraday, Active Morning Inquiries Pushed Up Offers [SMM Yangshan Spot Copper]
1 hour ago
Copper Prices Fell on the Last Trading Day, and Trading in the Shanghai Spot Copper Market Was Weak [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
3 hours ago
Copper Prices Fell on the Last Trading Day, and Trading in the Shanghai Spot Copper Market Was Weak [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
Read More
Copper Prices Fell on the Last Trading Day, and Trading in the Shanghai Spot Copper Market Was Weak [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
Copper Prices Fell on the Last Trading Day, and Trading in the Shanghai Spot Copper Market Was Weak [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
[Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, the Shanghai spot copper market will officially quote against the 2604 contract. In terms of market structure, the Contango price spread between the 2604 and 2605 contracts was in the range of 110 yuan/mt to 60 yuan/mt. Suppliers showed strong willingness to sell, and with the import window wide open, expectations for continued inflows of cargo from outside China strengthened, putting spot premiums under pressure. Demand side, although copper prices pulled back again below the 100,000 yuan/mt mark, procurement enthusiasm among downstream enterprises did not improve significantly. Intraday trading was light on both buying and selling sides, and at current price levels, end-users still maintained wait-and-see sentiment toward the subsequent price trend, with procurement turning cautious. Supply side, SMM recorded social inventory at 547,300 mt, down 26,600 mt from the previous period, but the absolute level remained high. Coupled with stronger import expectations, overall supply pressure still persisted. Overall, with the contract rollover completed and import expectations strengthening, Shanghai spot copper is expected to remain under pressure tomorrow, and discounts may widen further.
3 hours ago