UBS Sharply Raises Copper Price Forecast, Sees Prices Hitting $15,000

Published: Feb 28, 2026 09:20

UBS has significantly raised its copper price outlook in a recent report, increasing its long-term price forecast by $500 per metric ton. The bank now expects copper prices to reach $15,000 per metric ton by the end of March 2027. It maintains a positive view on the copper market and advises investors to hold long positions.

At the same time, UBS has updated its supply and demand forecasts. It has slightly lowered its 2025 copper market deficit projection to 200,000 metric tons but sharply raised its 2026 deficit estimate from 407,000 to 520,000 metric tons. The bank believes this widening supply gap will support elevated copper prices through 2026.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jul 14)
14 hours ago
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jul 14)
Read More
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jul 14)
Data: SHFE, DCE market movement (Jul 14)
The following table shows the ferrous and nonferrous metals movement on the SHFE and DCE on 14 Jul , 2026
14 hours ago
As delivery nears, some suppliers offload goods, shifting the center of Shanghai spot copper premiums lower overall [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
16 hours ago
As delivery nears, some suppliers offload goods, shifting the center of Shanghai spot copper premiums lower overall [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
Read More
As delivery nears, some suppliers offload goods, shifting the center of Shanghai spot copper premiums lower overall [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
As delivery nears, some suppliers offload goods, shifting the center of Shanghai spot copper premiums lower overall [SMM Shanghai Spot Copper]
[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, which is the last trading day of the SHFE copper 2607 contract, SMM will continue to quote against the front-month contract. The current open interest for the 2607 contract is around 4,500 lots. SHFE warrant data show that warrants stood at 47,158 mt on July 13, which is relatively ample and sufficient to cover delivery needs. Supply side, social inventory has been declining rapidly recently, mainly due to low arrivals of both domestic and imported cargoes, leaving the tightness in spot circulation unchanged. The backwardation price spread between contracts in adjacent months widened to 180-340 yuan/mt, and the front-month contract showed notable strength. Additionally, some suppliers have already attempted to quote for the 2608 contract today, with standard-quality copper at a premium of about 300 yuan/mt, reflecting that the market still holds optimistic expectations for premiums after the contract rollover. Overall, supported by the backwardation structure and driven by delivery-related dynamics, Shanghai spot copper prices against the 2607 contract are expected to remain at a premium tomorrow.
16 hours ago
Copper prices recover, and copper scrap traders actively sell [SMM Secondary Copper Daily Review]
16 hours ago
Copper prices recover, and copper scrap traders actively sell [SMM Secondary Copper Daily Review]
Read More
Copper prices recover, and copper scrap traders actively sell [SMM Secondary Copper Daily Review]
Copper prices recover, and copper scrap traders actively sell [SMM Secondary Copper Daily Review]
16 hours ago
UBS has significantly raised its copper price outlook in a recent repo - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)