Vale's Copper and Iron Ore Production Hit a Seven-Year High

According to a Reuters report cited by Mining Weekly, Brazilian miner Vale announced on Tuesday that its iron ore production increased to 336.1 million mt in 2025, hitting the highest level since 2018 and surpassing the output of its rival Rio Tinto in the Pilbara region.

Vale's iron ore production in 2025 rose by 2.6% compared to 2024, which was largely in line with the forecast of 335 million mt made last December. In the fourth quarter of 2025, the company's iron ore production reached 90.4 million mt, up 6%.

Analysts stated that Vale's iron ore production, along with its copper and nickel output, met expectations. Citi and RBC raised their estimates for Vale's core profit in the fourth quarter by 2% and 7% respectively, with the data set to be released in February.

Comparison with Rio Tinto

In 2019, a tailings dam collapse at Vale's facility in Brumadinho, Brazil, resulted in over 250 deaths, leading the company's projects to undergo safety reviews and causing it to lose its position as the world's largest iron ore producer to Rio Tinto.

However, Vale has been steadily increasing production in recent years and achieved its highest output since 2018 in 2025. CEO Gustavo Pimenta stated that the company aims to reclaim its status as the global top iron ore producer.

In the last week of 2025, Rio Tinto announced that its iron ore production in the Pilbara reached 327.3 million mt. When combined with its output from Canada, the total production reached 336.6 million mt, slightly exceeding that of Vale. In 2026, additional production from Guinea is expected to help Rio Tinto maintain this position.

2018 was the last year Vale outperformed Rio Tinto's Pilbara production, with the Brazilian company producing 384.6 million mt of iron ore that year, compared to Rio Tinto's 337.8 million mt from the Pilbara.

Vale confirmed that its iron ore production for this year is expected to be between 335 million mt and 345 million mt.

Vale noted in its report that the strong performance of the Brucutu mine, along with contributions from the Capanema and VGR1 projects, supported its quarterly production.

Vale reported that its iron ore sales in 2025 totaled 314.4 million mt, a 2.5% increase from 2024. In the third and fourth quarters, shipments reached 84.9 million mt, up 4.5%.

Copper production also hit a seven-year high

In 2025, Vale's copper production rose by nearly 10% to 382,400 mt, also reaching the highest level since 2018. This figure exceeded most recent forecasts (370,000 mt).

Vale aims to double its copper production by 2035. In the previous Q4, its primary copper mine in Brazil, Salobo, achieved a record high in production.

In 2025, the company's nickel production reached 177,200 mt, the highest level since 2022, representing an increase of nearly 11%. This also exceeded the company's projected output of 175,000 mt.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Demand Recovery Boosted Trading in the Shandong Copper Market
8 mins ago
Demand Recovery Boosted Trading in the Shandong Copper Market
Read More
Demand Recovery Boosted Trading in the Shandong Copper Market
Demand Recovery Boosted Trading in the Shandong Copper Market
This week, the spot market in Shandong recovered. As of Thursday, the average spot premiums were reported at a discount of 280 yuan/mt. Early in the week, copper prices declined; coupled with an accelerated pace of work and production resumptions at downstream copper processing enterprises after the Lantern Festival, orders and procurement demand rebounded in tandem, market trading sentiment recovered markedly, and premiums strengthened accordingly.
8 mins ago
Shanghai Copper Discount to Narrow as Supply Remains Ample and Demand Steadies
1 hour ago
Shanghai Copper Discount to Narrow as Supply Remains Ample and Demand Steadies
Read More
Shanghai Copper Discount to Narrow as Supply Remains Ample and Demand Steadies
Shanghai Copper Discount to Narrow as Supply Remains Ample and Demand Steadies
Tomorrow, the spot discount for Shanghai copper is expected to steadily narrow. The C1-C2 spread continues to tighten, further weakening holders' willingness to deliver to warehouses. Supply remains ample due to consistent arrivals of domestic and price-locked imported copper, alongside high social inventories. On the demand side, ongoing operational resumption and lower futures prices have boosted dip-buying interest, supporting the discount. Overall, spot trading activity is expected to remain stable.
1 hour ago
Recovering Downstream Orders Support Discount Repair; SHFE Copper Spot Premiums Gradually Stabilize [SMM SHFE Copper Spot]
2 hours ago
Recovering Downstream Orders Support Discount Repair; SHFE Copper Spot Premiums Gradually Stabilize [SMM SHFE Copper Spot]
Read More
Recovering Downstream Orders Support Discount Repair; SHFE Copper Spot Premiums Gradually Stabilize [SMM SHFE Copper Spot]
Recovering Downstream Orders Support Discount Repair; SHFE Copper Spot Premiums Gradually Stabilize [SMM SHFE Copper Spot]
[SMM Shanghai Spot Copper] Looking ahead to tomorrow, Shanghai spot copper discounts are expected to continue a steady recovery trend. From the market structure perspective, the price spread between futures contracts for the next-month and C contracts continues to narrow slightly, and suppliers’ willingness to ship to delivery warehouses continues to decline. Supply side, domestic copper and previously price-locked imported cargoes continue to arrive, and with social inventory at a high level, overall circulating supply in the market remains ample. Demand side, downstream enterprises continue to advance work and production resumptions, and with SHFE copper futures prices having declined somewhat recently, downstream purchase willingness to buy the dip has increased; order activity has risen, providing support for spot discounts. Overall, Shanghai spot copper is expected to maintain stable trading activity tomorrow.
2 hours ago
Vale's Copper and Iron Ore Production Hit a Seven-Year High - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)