[SMM Rebar Daily Review] Wait-and-see sentiment continues to ferment, and the short-term trend of being in the doldrums is hard to change

Published: Jun 18, 2025 17:27
[SMM Rebar Daily Review: Wait-and-See Sentiment Continues to Intensify, Short-Term Trend of Being in the Doldrums Remains Unchanged] Today, rebar futures operated in a volatile manner, closing at 2,986, up 0.13% from the previous trading day. In terms of spot prices, spot rebar quotes in most regions dropped slightly in the morning, with declines of 10-20 yuan/mt. Market trading sentiment was weak, and overall trading performance was mediocre throughout the day.

Rebar futures fluctuated today, closing at 2,986, up 0.13% from the previous trading day. Spot price-wise, most regions saw slight declines in morning quotes, dropping 10-20 yuan/mt, with weak market sentiment and mediocre trading performance throughout the day. Fundamentally, supply side, EAF steel mill profits continued to shrink, with three new electric furnaces undergoing maintenance shutdowns this week and two others reducing operating hours. According to the SMM survey, the operating rate of 50 construction steel-focused EAF steel mills nationwide stood at 30.98%, down 3.66% WoW. Blast furnace steel mills maintained profitability, sustaining high production enthusiasm, though overall supply pressure persisted. Demand side, downstream end-users primarily made just-in-time procurement, resulting in generally lackluster market transactions. Overseas political risks and domestic macro-level events, including key meetings, had relatively limited impact on construction steel market sentiment, with prevailing wait-and-see attitudes. Overall, current fundamentals of construction steel showed relatively small changes, with prices likely to remain in the doldrums in the short term. Close attention should be paid to geopolitical developments abroad.

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[SMM Rebar Daily Review] Wait-and-see sentiment continues to ferment, and the short-term trend of being in the doldrums is hard to change - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)