Silicone Monomer Enterprises' Maintenance Intensifies, Strengthening DMC Price Support [SMM Analysis]

Published: Feb 19, 2025 14:31

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[SMM Analysis: Silicone Monomer Enterprises Intensify Maintenance, Strengthening DMC Price Support] Recently, maintenance activities at silicone monomer enterprises have increased, leading to stronger support for DMC prices compared to earlier periods. According to SMM statistics, a total of 1.82 million mt of monomer capacity in China is currently under maintenance. In March, some monomer enterprises are expected to undergo further maintenance. The domestic supply side has seen significant reductions, and with the arrival of peak season demand, the supply of silicone DMC is expected to remain tight.

SMM, February 19: Recently, silicone monomer producers have increased maintenance activities, strengthening the support for DMC prices compared to earlier periods. According to SMM statistics, a total of 1.82 million mt of monomer capacity in China is currently under maintenance. In March, some monomer producers are expected to continue maintenance plans, leading to significant reductions on the supply side. With the arrival of the peak demand season, silicone DMC supply is expected to remain tight.

Chart: Silicone Product Price Trends

This week, domestic monomer producers saw another increase in DMC prices. Although quoted prices have not been adjusted, actual transaction prices rose due to joint efforts to refrain from price cuts by producers. According to SMM, this week, silicone DMC transaction prices increased to 13,400-13,500 yuan/mt, up by approximately 500 yuan/mt WoW. SMM attributes the upward shift in transaction price center to the consistent price-supporting sentiment among monomer producers, with no quotes below 13,400 yuan/mt and no acceptance of price negotiations. As most downstream enterprises resumed operations and sought to hedge against potential price increases for silicone raw materials during the peak season, market trading volume began to rise, accepting monomer producers' quotes, which further pushed up the transaction price center. Additionally, recent reductions in operating rates among monomer producers have brought the industry's maintenance capacity close to 2 million mt/year. Some producers are concerned about potential supply shortages, supporting the upward trend in silicone product prices, primarily DMC.

Chart: Weekly Production Trends of Silicone DMC

Supply side, the number of monomer producers undergoing maintenance is relatively high this time. Although some maintenance schedules align with annual maintenance periods, joint production cuts remain the primary driver of this round of maintenance. According to SMM statistics, monomer producers in south China, north China, central China, and east China are all undergoing maintenance, with a relay effect observed. From February to mid-April, domestic monomer producers are expected to maintain relatively low operating rates, with peak maintenance capacity reaching 2 million mt/year, enhancing expectations for supply-side improvement.

Regarding future price forecasts, SMM expects further upward adjustments in quotes. Current market trading volume has increased compared to earlier periods, with monomer producers maintaining a consistent price-supporting sentiment and supply continuing to decline. With the recovery of end-use sectors around late February, trading volume is expected to see a slight increase. Supported by both supply and demand, silicone DMC prices are anticipated to trend upward.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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