Is the price of gold poised for a sustainable turnaround? The 200-day moving average is key

Published: Jun 15, 2026 11:41

June 12, 2026

Following a four-day sell-off of over $400, triggered by unexpectedly strong U.S. labor market and inflation data, the price of gold made a sharp turnaround on Thursday. A robust job market and persistent inflation had previously significantly dampened hopes for imminent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. As a result, the non-interest-bearing precious metal lost nearly 10% of its value, breaking below the technically critical 200-day moving average for the first time since October 2023.

However, this massive selling pressure came to an abrupt end late Thursday with a price jump of $140. The trigger was a report from Washington: U.S. President Donald Trump had called off a planned military strike against Iran in favor of new diplomatic approaches. At first glance, the recovery in the gold price seems paradoxical in this context, as geopolitical détente typically dampens demand for safe-haven assets. The price rise is therefore primarily attributable to short-covering. Short sellers took advantage of the news to quickly close out their positions in light of the unpredictable geopolitical environment.

Despite the strong rebound, the chart picture remains weak for now. For a sustainable trend reversal, the precious metal must reclaim the 200-day moving average—which now acts as a key resistance level—on a closing price basis. Only then will the market signal that buyers are regaining control. Until then, investors are navigating a complex landscape: On the one hand, restrictive U.S. monetary policy is capping upside potential; on the other hand, a failure of diplomatic talks in the Middle East could trigger new flight-to-safety moves into gold at any time.

Source: https://goldinvest.de/en/goldpreis-vor-trendwende-200-tage-linie-wird-zum-schluessel

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM Precious Metal Express] Singapore Exchange to Launch OTC Gold Clearing, Boosting Global Market Infrastructure
Common.Time.hoursAgo
[SMM Precious Metal Express] Singapore Exchange to Launch OTC Gold Clearing, Boosting Global Market Infrastructure
Read More
[SMM Precious Metal Express] Singapore Exchange to Launch OTC Gold Clearing, Boosting Global Market Infrastructure
[SMM Precious Metal Express] Singapore Exchange to Launch OTC Gold Clearing, Boosting Global Market Infrastructure
[SMM Precious Metal Express] Singapore Exchange announced it will establish an OTC gold clearing system and plans to launch central bank vault custody services by October, accelerating global gold market infrastructure development. This move is expected to enhance Singapore's position as an international gold trading hub, providing more comprehensive clearing and custody infrastructure for the precious metals market.
Common.Time.hoursAgo
US-Iran Deal Reopens Strait, Oil Prices Drop, Precious Metals Rise Amid Fed Policy Focus
Common.Time.hoursAgo
US-Iran Deal Reopens Strait, Oil Prices Drop, Precious Metals Rise Amid Fed Policy Focus
Read More
US-Iran Deal Reopens Strait, Oil Prices Drop, Precious Metals Rise Amid Fed Policy Focus
US-Iran Deal Reopens Strait, Oil Prices Drop, Precious Metals Rise Amid Fed Policy Focus
[SMM Precious Metal Express] The US-Iran agreement has been finalized, with the Strait of Hormuz set to reopen on Friday, sending oil prices sharply lower. However, precious metals rose instead of fell, as market focus shifted from geopolitical risks to Federal Reserve policy expectations. The US dollar index edged up to 99.67, while Treasury yields remained elevated. Precious metals climbed for a third consecutive day, indicating continued inflows of safe-haven capital.
Common.Time.hoursAgo
Chart Update Gold: Will It Hold at 4,000? Where Are the Next Support Levels?
Jun 15, 2026 11:40
Chart Update Gold: Will It Hold at 4,000? Where Are the Next Support Levels?
Read More
Chart Update Gold: Will It Hold at 4,000? Where Are the Next Support Levels?
Chart Update Gold: Will It Hold at 4,000? Where Are the Next Support Levels?
Jun 15, 2026 11:40
Is the price of gold poised for a sustainable turnaround? The 200-day moving average is key - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)