Geopolitical Disruptions Combined with Trade Disturbances Drive SHFE and LME Prices Higher [SMM Market Review - Zinc Price Weekly Commentary]

Published: May 8, 2026 16:16
[Geopolitical Disruptions Combined with Trade Disturbances, SHFE and LME Both Rise] At the beginning of the week, LME zinc was closed due to the UK bank holiday. Subsequently, signs that the US-Iran ceasefire agreement remained in effect eased inflation concerns and upward pressure on interest rates. Combined with supply disruptions outside China, these factors jointly supported the rise of LME zinc. Meanwhile, the US dollar index continued to decline, and inventories outside China fell consecutively, further supporting LME zinc's upward move......

LME zinc: At the beginning of the week, LME zinc was closed due to the UK bank holiday; subsequently, signs that the US-Iran ceasefire agreement remained in effect eased inflation concerns and upward pressure on interest rates, which, combined with supply disruptions outside China, jointly supported LME zinc's rise; meanwhile, the continuously declining US dollar index and successive drops in inventories outside China further supported LME zinc's upward movement; then, although Trump expressed optimism about reaching a deal multiple times, he simultaneously threatened to resume bombing, causing market sentiment to deteriorate and the LME zinc price center to pull back slightly; later, Trump extended the deadline for the EU to approve a tariff agreement, and the market expected the US and Iran to reach a temporary ceasefire agreement, with geopolitical and trade sentiment resonating together to push LME zinc higher; afterwards, LME zinc moved sideways. As of 15:00 this Friday, LME zinc was recorded at $2,713.5/mt, up $113/mt, a gain of 3.38%.

SHFE zinc: At the beginning of the week, SHFE zinc was closed due to China's Labour Day holiday; subsequently, driven by expectations of easing US-Iran relations and supply disruptions outside China, SHFE zinc rose rapidly; however, after the holiday, rising domestic inventory combined with mediocre performance in downstream consumption and sluggish trading in the spot market left zinc prices lacking upward momentum, maintaining a fluctuating trend; nevertheless, the persistent tightness in ore supply continued to provide bottom support for SHFE zinc from the raw material side, pushing futures slightly higher; later, driven by LME, SHFE zinc opened higher with a gap, but insufficient support from the consumption side, combined with domestic inventory that, despite declining, remained at elevated levels, led SHFE zinc to drift lower gradually. As of 15:00 this Friday, SHFE zinc was recorded at 24,275 yuan/mt, up 630 yuan/mt, a gain of 2.66%.

                                                                                                                                                

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
New Century Reports 20% QoQ Decline in Q1 2026 Zinc Production Due to Rain and Maintenance
Common.Time.minsAgo
New Century Reports 20% QoQ Decline in Q1 2026 Zinc Production Due to Rain and Maintenance
Read More
New Century Reports 20% QoQ Decline in Q1 2026 Zinc Production Due to Rain and Maintenance
New Century Reports 20% QoQ Decline in Q1 2026 Zinc Production Due to Rain and Maintenance
[New Century Announces Q1 2026 Production] New Century released its Q1 2026 report, which showed zinc concentrates production of 24,000 mt, down 20% QoQ. The company produced 20,000 mt of available for sale zinc during the quarter, down 19% YoY, due to increased rainfall and planned maintenance shutdowns in Q1 2026.
Common.Time.minsAgo
Nexa Reports Q1 2026 Zinc Production Down 13% Due to Weather and Operational Challenges
Common.Time.minsAgo
Nexa Reports Q1 2026 Zinc Production Down 13% Due to Weather and Operational Challenges
Read More
Nexa Reports Q1 2026 Zinc Production Down 13% Due to Weather and Operational Challenges
Nexa Reports Q1 2026 Zinc Production Down 13% Due to Weather and Operational Challenges
[Nexa Releases Q1 2026 Production Results] Nexa released its Q1 2026 report. The company's zinc concentrates production totaled 79,400 mt in the quarter, down 13% QoQ, primarily reflecting reduced ore throughput at the Cerro Pasco complex and Cerro Lindo, with the latter affected by heavy rainfall during the quarter. Operations at Aripuanã and Vazante were in line with expectations.
Common.Time.minsAgo
Pan American Silver Reports 9% Increase in Q1 2026 Zinc Production
Common.Time.minsAgo
Pan American Silver Reports 9% Increase in Q1 2026 Zinc Production
Read More
Pan American Silver Reports 9% Increase in Q1 2026 Zinc Production
Pan American Silver Reports 9% Increase in Q1 2026 Zinc Production
[Pan American Silver Corp Announces Q1 2026 Production] Pan American Silver Corp announced unaudited Q1 2026 production data. The data showed that its zinc concentrates production in Q1 2026 was 15,200 mt, up 9% YoY.
Common.Time.minsAgo