Rare Earth Prices Show Divergence, Tug-of-War Between Upstream and Downstream Continues [SMM Rare Earth Daily Review]

Published: Jul 14, 2026 14:02
[SMM Rare Earth Daily Review: Rare Earth Prices Diverge, Tug-of-War Between Upstream and Downstream Continues] Overall, affected by the intense tug-of-war between upstream and downstream, oxide market prices exhibited notable fluctuations, while the metal market, due to slightly sluggish inquiries, saw suppliers’ quotes remain relatively firm without obvious adjustments. In the short term, production cuts or shutdowns at some raw ore separation and scrap recycling plants are expected to weaken oxide suppliers' willingness to sell at low prices, which may push Pr-Nd product prices to drift higher amid consolidation.

SMM, July 14: Rare earth market prices diverged today. Specifically, in the oxide market, the price of Pr-Nd oxide was lowered by 2,500 yuan/mt, dysprosium oxide price held steady, terbium oxide price was lowered by 25,000 yuan/mt, gadolinium oxide price was lowered by 1,000 yuan/mt, holmium oxide price was raised by 7,500 yuan/mt, and erbium oxide price was raised by 7,500 yuan/mt.

In the metal market, Pr-Nd alloy price held steady, dysprosium-iron alloy price held steady, terbium metal price was lowered by 25,000 yuan/mt, gadolinium-iron alloy price held steady, holmium-iron market price was raised by 5,000 yuan/mt, and lanthanum-cerium metal (alloy grade) price held steady.

In overseas markets, praseodymium oxide FOB price was raised by $2.5/kg this week, neodymium oxide FOB price was raised by $3/kg this week, terbium oxide FOB price was raised by $40/kg this week, dysprosium oxide FOB price was raised by $4/kg this week, praseodymium metal FOB price was raised by $3/kg this week, neodymium metal FOB price was raised by $5/kg this week, and terbium metal FOB price was raised by $50/kg this week.

Currently, the rare earth market exhibited price divergence: oxide prices fluctuated significantly, while metal prices remained relatively stable. Focusing on the Pr-Nd market, the tug-of-war between upstream and downstream was especially intense. Yesterday afternoon, influenced by large plants entering to purchase Pr-Nd oxide, low-priced cargo availability tightened, and suppliers' willingness to sell at low prices diminished, leading to a slight upward adjustment in quotes. However, the overall increase was relatively small, and compared to yesterday morning, prices still showed a downward trend. In the metal market, although prices operated steadily, since oxide costs edged up today, metal enterprises' quotes improved compared to yesterday afternoon. Meanwhile, inquiry activity in the metal market picked up slightly, but downstream magnetic material enterprises mainly made tentative inquiries, with actual transactions remaining in a stalemate.

In the medium-heavy rare earth sector, terbium products saw suppliers slightly lower their quotes due to difficulty in concluding deals at high prices; holmium products saw suppliers raise quotes due to scarce low-priced cargo; gadolinium product prices were affected by the weak Pr-Nd price and the stalemate in market trading, with gadolinium oxide quotes nudged lower, but gadolinium-iron alloy suppliers held quotes firm without significant adjustment; dysprosium product prices continued to run steady.

Overall, affected by intense upstream-downstream tug-of-war, oxide market prices fluctuated notably, while the metal market saw relatively firm supplier quotes without significant adjustment, as inquiries were somewhat sluggish. In the short term, due to production cuts and stoppages at some raw ore separation and scrap recycling plants, oxide suppliers' reluctance to sell at low prices may drive Pr-Nd product prices to drift higher amid fluctuations.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM's internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or for more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Hastings Tech Metals Updates DFS for Yangibana Rare Earth Project, Confirms Strong Economics
Common.Time.minsAgo
Hastings Tech Metals Updates DFS for Yangibana Rare Earth Project, Confirms Strong Economics
Read More
Hastings Tech Metals Updates DFS for Yangibana Rare Earth Project, Confirms Strong Economics
Hastings Tech Metals Updates DFS for Yangibana Rare Earth Project, Confirms Strong Economics
[SMM Rare Earth Flash] ASX-listed Hastings Technology Metals has released the results of the updated definitive feasibility study (DFS) for Stage 1 of the Yangibana rare earth and niobium project in Western Australia. The project is held by a joint venture, with Wyloo Gascoyne holding a 60% interest and Hastings holding 40%. The updated DFS confirms a pre-tax net present value (NPV) of AUD 649 million, an internal rate of return (IRR) of 34%, and a payback period of 2.4 years. Initial capital investment is AUD 333 million, with a mine life of 19 years and average annual concentrates production of 37,000 mt. The project is based on ore reserves of 20.93 million mt at a total rare earth oxide (TREO) grade of 0.90%. Neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) accounts for 37% of TREO and is expected to contribute over 90% of project revenue. All environmental approvals have been obtained, and infrastructure and long-lead equipment have already been delivered to site.
Common.Time.minsAgo
China Northern Rare Earth: H1 net profit expected to increase 112.74%-121.33%, rare earth prices strengthened overall and consolidated
Common.Time.hoursAgo
China Northern Rare Earth: H1 net profit expected to increase 112.74%-121.33%, rare earth prices strengthened overall and consolidated
Read More
China Northern Rare Earth: H1 net profit expected to increase 112.74%-121.33%, rare earth prices strengthened overall and consolidated
China Northern Rare Earth: H1 net profit expected to increase 112.74%-121.33%, rare earth prices strengthened overall and consolidated
Common.Time.hoursAgo
Secondary Pr-Nd Oxide Output Surges in H1 2026, Driven by Policy and Supply Factors【SMM Analysis】
Common.Time.hoursAgo
Secondary Pr-Nd Oxide Output Surges in H1 2026, Driven by Policy and Supply Factors【SMM Analysis】
Read More
Secondary Pr-Nd Oxide Output Surges in H1 2026, Driven by Policy and Supply Factors【SMM Analysis】
Secondary Pr-Nd Oxide Output Surges in H1 2026, Driven by Policy and Supply Factors【SMM Analysis】
In H1 2026, China's secondary RE oxide output jumped 144% YoY and 28% from H2 2025. Secondary Pr-Nd share rose from 31% to 43.5%, peaking at 46% in Q1 due to tight supply, pricing changes, and higher Pr-Nd in scrap. Q2 share eased to 41% on recovering ore output and weaker demand; tax compliance issues cut June output ~20%. With new standards and tax rectification, H2 share is forecast at 37%, full-year ~40%.
Common.Time.hoursAgo
Register to Continue Reading
Gain access to the latest insights in metals and new energy
Already have an account?Sign in here