The supply-demand weakness pattern persists, with SHFE lead maintaining sideways movement [Lead Futures Brief Review]

Published: Feb 26, 2026 16:52

SMM February 26:

The most-traded SHFE lead 2604 contract opened at 16,790 yuan/mt, and due to weak downstream consumption coupled with slow resumption of smelters, the market exhibited a supply-demand weakness pattern. SHFE lead fluctuated rangebound around the 16,775 yuan/mt level, briefly touching a high of 16,805 yuan/mt, and finally closed at 16,790 yuan/mt, recording a small bullish candlestick. It rose by 55 yuan/mt, a gain of 0.33%. Overall downstream demand remains weak and is unlikely to improve significantly in the near term. Coupled with the fact that refined lead supply has not yet recovered collectively and recyclers have limited raw material supply, SMM expects SHFE lead to continue its sideways movement in the short term.

Data Source Statement: Data not from public sources is processed by SMM based on public information, market communication, and SMM's internal database model. It is for reference only and does not constitute decision-making advice.

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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The supply-demand weakness pattern persists, with SHFE lead maintaining sideways movement [Lead Futures Brief Review] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)