Lithium Prices at High Levels Combined with Supply Disruptions in Africa, New Energy Vehicles Face Critical Validation Period in Q2
The main focus in March shifted from the volume after resuming production to whether costs could be passed on and if orders were sustainable. With a general increase in raw material prices, battery prices also diverged due to different pricing models: battery manufacturers using a formula-linked mechanism found it easier to pass on costs at the financial level; whereas those with fixed-price contracts experienced more significant profit compression. However, most enterprises chose not to push price negotiations to the extreme in Q1, instead opting to leave more room for discussions to be concentrated after the New Year. This strategy led to a situation where, on the surface, the industry chain in March was still in production and making deliveries, but profit pressures were accumulating internally, and the real contradictions were merely postponed rather than resolved. As a result, market expectations for Q2 began to diverge in March: optimists saw new vehicle cycles and production schedule resilience, while the cautious were more concerned about the potential for profits to be affected first if sales did not materialize.