Market Trading Sentiment Improved After Contract Rollover, Focus on Tomorrow's Inventory Changes [SMM South China Spot Copper]

Published: Mar 17, 2026 11:40

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SMM News, March 12:

Today in Guangdong, spot #1 copper cathode against the front-month contract was quoted at a premium of 30 yuan/mt for high-quality copper, down 20 yuan/mt from yesterday; standard-quality copper was quoted at a discount of 80 yuan/mt, down 70 yuan/mt from yesterday; and SX-EW copper was quoted at a discount of 140 yuan/mt, down 55 yuan/mt from yesterday. The average price of #1 copper cathode in Guangdong was 100,255 yuan/mt, up 1,300 yuan/mt from the previous trading day, while the average price of SX-EW copper was 100,140 yuan/mt, up 1,290 yuan/mt from the previous trading day.

Spot market: After Guangdong inventory rose slightly for only one day yesterday, it declined again today, mainly due to fewer arrivals and increased warehouse withdrawals. As inventory fell, suppliers took the opportunity to hold prices firm and make shipments, but downstream processing enterprises showed only average restocking sentiment today. On the one hand, copper prices posted a relatively large gain; on the other hand, premiums also rose sharply. However, traders' purchase willingness increased from yesterday, and overall trading sentiment improved after the contract rollover. Today, purchasing sentiment for copper cathode in Guangdong was 2.43, up 0.11 from the previous trading day, while shipment sentiment was 3.26, up 0.25 from the previous trading day (historical data is available in the database).

Overall, market trading sentiment improved after the contract rollover. Attention should be paid to inventory changes tomorrow. If destocking continues, premiums are expected to keep rising.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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